Following Putin's decree, we have entered a third and most dangerous phase of the conflict with partial conscription and the early referenda constituting an admission of defeat on the part of the Kremlin after seven months after the military operations began.
It seems that Moscow rested on the laurels of the territorial gains made in the first phase of the conflict. adapted to its failure to take Kyiv and oust Volodymyr Zelensky seizing control of Donbas, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia. Moscow did not believe that the Ukrainians. in spite of significant assistance from the West and particularly the US were in a position to question the fait accompli created on the ground and, that instead, they could focus on defending against the loss of additional territory rather than trying to retake some of the occupied areas.
But following Ukraine's successes in the country's northeast and given the serious losses in personnel and problematic planning that led to the removal of high-ranking officers and a drop in Russia's morale. Putin's options were limited and thus, against the advice of certain of his interlocutors, including president Erdogan to the effect that he should seek a quick compromise, and in the wake of relevant urging from China and India, in order to consolidate territorial gains.
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